Introduction:
I've always found it amusing how so many people have jobs as "NFL Analysts". I don't consider them actual jobs but hey, there's a market for them and that's why they exist, can't argue with the economics of it. What I'm hoping to do is conduct an experiment to see how reliable these experts truly are at predicting games. If I can have a better season record of predicting games after 21 weeks than the experts, then we will see how pointless these peoples' opinions truly are.
Procedure:
Before each slate of NFL games I will toss a regular quarter to predict each game. Heads will mean the home team wins, tails will mean the away team wins. I'll tally these results up in an excel sheet and update the results as the weekend's games conclude. Updates will also be provided in my weekly Redskins articles. The coin will be tossed once, caught and flipped over. If I drop it then I re-toss the coin. If the team I predicted wins, then a win is added to my win total, likewise for losses. So if in a week I call 5 games right and 7 games wrong then my record for that week will be 5-7.
Hypothesis:
If NFL Analysts are truly complete morons, then my cumulative win-loss record, at the end of the season, will be higher than the average of at least 5 NFL Analysts. They are the ATL crew from nfl.com who will also be predicting each week of fun nfl action. You can follow along, the experts I will be competing against are Marc Sessler, Dan Hanzus, Kevin Patra, Gregg Rosenthal and Chris Wesseling,all of which are writers for NFL's Around the League show.
1st Week's Predictions:
BAL @ DEN: Bal
NE @ BUF: Buf
SEA @ CAR: Car
CIN @ CHI: Cin
MIA @ CLE: Mia
MIN @ DET: Det
OAK @ IND: Oak
KC @ JAC: Kc
ATL @ NO: Atl
TB @ NYJ: Tb
TEN @ PIT: Ten
GB @ SF: Gb
ARI @ STL: Ari
NYG @ DAL: Nyg
PHI @ WSH: Wsh
HOU @ SD: Hous
Format: Away @ Home. Heads: Home wins Tails: Away wins.
What do you all think? I know some of the picks already seem horrible, but let's just see how this plays out over the 21 weeks.
I've always found it amusing how so many people have jobs as "NFL Analysts". I don't consider them actual jobs but hey, there's a market for them and that's why they exist, can't argue with the economics of it. What I'm hoping to do is conduct an experiment to see how reliable these experts truly are at predicting games. If I can have a better season record of predicting games after 21 weeks than the experts, then we will see how pointless these peoples' opinions truly are.
Procedure:
Before each slate of NFL games I will toss a regular quarter to predict each game. Heads will mean the home team wins, tails will mean the away team wins. I'll tally these results up in an excel sheet and update the results as the weekend's games conclude. Updates will also be provided in my weekly Redskins articles. The coin will be tossed once, caught and flipped over. If I drop it then I re-toss the coin. If the team I predicted wins, then a win is added to my win total, likewise for losses. So if in a week I call 5 games right and 7 games wrong then my record for that week will be 5-7.
Hypothesis:
If NFL Analysts are truly complete morons, then my cumulative win-loss record, at the end of the season, will be higher than the average of at least 5 NFL Analysts. They are the ATL crew from nfl.com who will also be predicting each week of fun nfl action. You can follow along, the experts I will be competing against are Marc Sessler, Dan Hanzus, Kevin Patra, Gregg Rosenthal and Chris Wesseling,all of which are writers for NFL's Around the League show.
1st Week's Predictions:
BAL @ DEN: Bal
NE @ BUF: Buf
SEA @ CAR: Car
CIN @ CHI: Cin
MIA @ CLE: Mia
MIN @ DET: Det
OAK @ IND: Oak
KC @ JAC: Kc
ATL @ NO: Atl
TB @ NYJ: Tb
TEN @ PIT: Ten
GB @ SF: Gb
ARI @ STL: Ari
NYG @ DAL: Nyg
PHI @ WSH: Wsh
HOU @ SD: Hous
Format: Away @ Home. Heads: Home wins Tails: Away wins.
What do you all think? I know some of the picks already seem horrible, but let's just see how this plays out over the 21 weeks.
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